Beech Mountain

Beech Mountain, NC

Currently

Temperature 35°F
Feels Like 30.83°F
Humidity 55%
Pressure 1022mb
Wind 11.01mph from the NW
Clear sky 35°F Clear sky
Today Sunny
High: 51°F Low: 39°F
Saturday Mostly Sunny
High: 57°F Low: 48°F
Sunday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers
High: 62°F Low: 49°F
Monday Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
High: 63°F Low: 51°F
Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
High: 62°F Low: 35°F
Summary

SYNOPSIS

... Dry high pressure settles over the Southeast to start the weekend. A warming trend is expected through the first part of next week, with temperatures well above normal. A cold front is forecast to reach our region from the northwest in the middle of next week, bringing another chance of rain and cooler temperatures.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 620 AM EDT Friday: No changes needed to the fcst with this update. Updated the hourly temp and dewpt grids to line up with the obs. Skies remain clear and winds are light.

Otherwise...a flat upper ridge begins to spread over our area, as the ridge axis crosses east of the MS River. At the sfc, dry high pressure will be centered over the Deep South, while a coastal low lingers along the New England Coast. This will keep a NE-SW pressure gradient atop the forecast area, and with fun sunshine and dry air mass, deep mixing will be on tap. Breezy WLY to WNWLY winds can be expected across most of our NC zones, especially along and north of I-40. Less wind expected in our southern zones, where a lee trough backs with winds to SWLY. The 850 mb flow will still have a downslope component, and dewpts should mix out and cause minimum RH values to fall below 25% for most of the area (see fire wx section below). Temps will be a couple categories warmer than yesterday's readings, mainly in the lower 70s east of the mountains and in the 60s in the mountain valleys.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... As of 305 am Friday: With an upper trough digging into Baja in the short term, a low-amplitude ridge will slowly build across the central Conus, but generally fast/quasi-zonal flow is expected over the East through the period. A baroclinic zone extending from the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic is expected to activate late in the period, as weak height falls ripple north of our area through the quasi-zonal flow. Any associated shower development should remain well north of the area. However, increasing (albeit scant) moisture on Sunday could combine with westerly upslope flow to allow a stray shower to develop across the northern NC mountains during the afternoon, warranting a very small PoP. Otherwise, conditions will be dry and very warm, with temps expected to range from ~10-15 degrees above climo through much of the period. Another day of enhanced fire danger appears likely Saturday, as RH is forecast to again reach critical values. Winds will also be quite gusty Sat afternoon...but are not quite expected to reach critical levels. Despite warmer conditions Sunday, increasing surface dewpoints are expected to result in significant RH recovery, likely ending our run of fire danger products.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 325 am Friday: An upper low is forecast to meander from the Rockies to the Great Lakes during the first couple of days of the medium range, just ahead of a strong short wave trough digging strongly southward from the Canadian Prairie. These features are forecast by the global models to carve out a rather deep upper low over the East by the end of the day Thursday. In the interim, a low amplitude ridge will progress across our region, resulting in continued dry and very warm (almost 15 degrees above climo) conditions during the first couple of days of the period. By mid-week, deepening cyclone and associated frontal system will begin impacting the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, with PoPs ramping up during the day Tuesday, peaking Wed night before tapering off early Wed. The pattern will be supportive of some degree of severe storm threat, as warm and increasingly moist/unstable conditions will be in place ahead of the forcing. However, the degree of the threat will be somewhat dependent upon the time of day/our ability to maximize buoyancy, as current indications are that shear parameters, while adequate, won't be especially outstanding due to strongly positive-tilt nature of the upper trough. Conditions become much cooler by Thursday in the wake of the front...near/even a little below normal...with perhaps a period of high elevation northwest flow snow showers Wed/Wed night.

Beech Parkway
Beech Mtn Resort Summit
Pinnacle Inn